The Opportunity
The roughly 2,400 coal power plants operating across Eastern Europe and the Global South (except China) represent one of the largest energy transition opportunities in the world today. Plants in India alone have 250 gigawatts (GW) of coal capacity that emit one billion metric tons of CO₂ equivalent (CO₂e) each year. With an average age of just 19 years – well short of the 30-to-50-year lifespans typical in the sector – these facilities are far from retirement. Plants in Southeast Asia also contribute substantially: 124 GW of capacity, 667 million metric tons of CO₂e annually, and an average plant age of only 13 years.
While we estimate the cost of transitioning each of these plants at 3.7 trillion USD, our focus is more targeted: identifying plants where restructuring long-term energy supply contracts, or Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), can open the door to cleaner energy while delivering measurable returns for operators, shareholders, governments, and the public.
~2,400
Coal power plants operating across Eastern Europe and the Global South (except China)
250 GW
Coal capacity in India alone, emitting 1.3 billion metric tons of CO₂e per year
124 GW
Coal capacity in Southeast Asia — 667 million metric tons of CO₂e annually
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Sources
Global Coal Plant Tracker, Global Energy Monitor, July 2026 Release
CEB Analysis
Assumptions
Average power plant utilization of 65%
Average renewables availability of 20%
1.02 metric tons CO₂ per MWh
Capital expenditures of solar = 700 USD/MWp
Capital expenditures of batteries = 100 USD/MWh
8 hours of battery storage
Transmission upgrades and interconnection capital expenditures = 25% of cost
Just transition costs = 15% of cost